krishmunn
03-26 12:31 PM
, if they were EB2 candidates why they didnt file on EB2 category at first, if now they think they are qualified then they should start new process.
BTW. they will create a big retrogression for EB2 then EB2 people have to port to EB3
In many cases the question is NOT about qualification of the applicant but the policy of the company -- lump all in EB3 so that the employee stick to company endlessly. If you think porting is unfair, Citizens and LPRs think H1B and entire EB GC process is unfair ...
Disclaimer: I have Never filed in EB3 . My first and only filing is in EB2.
BTW. they will create a big retrogression for EB2 then EB2 people have to port to EB3
In many cases the question is NOT about qualification of the applicant but the policy of the company -- lump all in EB3 so that the employee stick to company endlessly. If you think porting is unfair, Citizens and LPRs think H1B and entire EB GC process is unfair ...
Disclaimer: I have Never filed in EB3 . My first and only filing is in EB2.
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skynet2500
06-13 07:13 PM
Can IV Core confirm this is not an error from USCIS?
ars01
06-28 05:24 PM
I and my wife got our approved EADs in our hand in 17 days (Mailing day to USCIS to recevied date by us). Only strange thing is that my EAD is valid from 06/2008 to 06/2009. I thought the new EADs validity would begin when the existing expires. My existing EAD expires on 09/19/2008. I lost 3 months with this renewal.
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delhiguy79
07-29 09:45 AM
Hey guys,
I hope u all may ve recieved the I-140 Reciept Notice by now.....
So lets track whose I-485 has been sent by now....
I will submit my papers to my employer tomorrow and he may send it by this week....
I hope u all may ve recieved the I-140 Reciept Notice by now.....
So lets track whose I-485 has been sent by now....
I will submit my papers to my employer tomorrow and he may send it by this week....
more...
mheggade
07-15 03:46 PM
I am assuming that EB2 India will have a cut-off date of atleast June 2006 for Aug as well as Sep. The time window of approvals is Aug 1 2008 to Sep 30 2008. In this time frame, they will have to pull the files from shelves and make them ready for adjudication.
I also remember from I-485 field SOP, that first step is to contact US Consulate abroad where you filled your DS-156 if you traveled within last 12 months for any discrepancy. This step itself can take a long time.
Then there are a lot of people who had PD current but they haven't done finger-printing yet. Imagine time required to schedule fingerprints, appear for one, and then get the results.
Just my thoughts.
This is any body's guess.
However , on the normal course you would think USCIS should start doing the Prep work like getting the files from ware house to production line as soon as they have the Visa bulletin is published.
I also remember from I-485 field SOP, that first step is to contact US Consulate abroad where you filled your DS-156 if you traveled within last 12 months for any discrepancy. This step itself can take a long time.
Then there are a lot of people who had PD current but they haven't done finger-printing yet. Imagine time required to schedule fingerprints, appear for one, and then get the results.
Just my thoughts.
This is any body's guess.
However , on the normal course you would think USCIS should start doing the Prep work like getting the files from ware house to production line as soon as they have the Visa bulletin is published.
knnmbd
07-17 03:38 PM
Do you guys think its worthwhile to go back instead of trying waiting for the retrogression to end. From the looks of it, i doubt there is any chance of an immigration bill before the elections. if there is no bill then we will end up waiting for 8-10 years for the dates to be current.
if they remove the US masters from the quota, imagine the rush it will cause in the universities, effectively it will imply that you will get a green card after you study for 2 years in US. take a 20-40k loan and get a GC. There is no country quota for F1. i had friends who were rejected for F1 because they were 'potential immigrants' wonder how this theme will play out in future.
from this shore returning back seems to be an alternative worth considering...or maybe its just todays depression talking.
IF the U.S Master's exception goes through, its pretty obvious that the DOS will tighten the screws on F1 Visa approvals by a magnitude of 100(unless F1 is made a dual intent visa... and that's like asking for the sky), and also USCIS will make in close to impossible to change non-immigrant visas status to F1( from say H1B). So it’s more than the 20K to get ahead of the line. The only benefit will be for folks already with a U.S Master's or it will be a new rat hole, fighting the Consulates/USCIS for F1 status.
if they remove the US masters from the quota, imagine the rush it will cause in the universities, effectively it will imply that you will get a green card after you study for 2 years in US. take a 20-40k loan and get a GC. There is no country quota for F1. i had friends who were rejected for F1 because they were 'potential immigrants' wonder how this theme will play out in future.
from this shore returning back seems to be an alternative worth considering...or maybe its just todays depression talking.
IF the U.S Master's exception goes through, its pretty obvious that the DOS will tighten the screws on F1 Visa approvals by a magnitude of 100(unless F1 is made a dual intent visa... and that's like asking for the sky), and also USCIS will make in close to impossible to change non-immigrant visas status to F1( from say H1B). So it’s more than the 20K to get ahead of the line. The only benefit will be for folks already with a U.S Master's or it will be a new rat hole, fighting the Consulates/USCIS for F1 status.
more...
tawlibann
06-25 04:44 PM
They hushed up and approved my EAD in 20 days. Why ???? 'cos So they don't hit Jun'30 and give 2 years. They wanted to milk another 680 from me so they hushed up and sent me the 1 year EAD in 20 days.
Well.. :) Look at it from the positive side. It may also mean that your I-485 application is going to take less than a year to approve. (According to USCIS, 2-year EADs are going to be issued only to applicant whose I-485 approval is expected to take a very long time, e.g. more than a year.)
Well.. :) Look at it from the positive side. It may also mean that your I-485 application is going to take less than a year to approve. (According to USCIS, 2-year EADs are going to be issued only to applicant whose I-485 approval is expected to take a very long time, e.g. more than a year.)
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Tshelar
05-18 08:29 AM
Sent to Sen. Bond, Sen. McCaskill and Rep. Akin.
more...
vallabhu
06-10 12:17 PM
My opinion even if CIR is dead this year, as long as Kennedy is alive they will come back in 2009 with similar immigration bill with no benefits for eb visas and the whole story will repeat we will have ours fingers crossed and IV will try their best to tweak in some amendments and again it will die for the same reasons, as they are not going accept any amendments until grand immigration bill we will wait for next CIR and we go into infinite loop.
may time will pass and 10-15 years like this and we all will get current some time and eventually get visas.
I think it is better if we get over with it either good or bad at least we can come out of limbo.
and then try for new amendments.
may time will pass and 10-15 years like this and we all will get current some time and eventually get visas.
I think it is better if we get over with it either good or bad at least we can come out of limbo.
and then try for new amendments.
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Karthikthiru
06-08 03:46 PM
I would definitely agree that even if CIR comes back it has lot of negative things for people who are comming legally like us. We need to think of a different strategy which does not require a legislation which brings lot of attention against us. I can personally say that I will atleast add 10 more members with recurring contributions in a short time. Right now I will double or triple by monthly recurring contributions. I do agree with the core members that we do need lot of money now to lobby. There are are communities which I don't want to say publicly - even though there are in small numbers they have laws passed in favour of them. It is very simple - we need the MONEY POWER
Karthik
Karthik
more...
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newuser
06-20 08:53 PM
paper based.
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gc genie
06-13 07:33 PM
Congrats to all who can apply for I 485.oUR situation is that my husband is a fellow in medicine speciality and already been offered a job which he wil start in july 2008.Our details
lc approved for the future job
i 140 pending.
Are we eligible to apply for i 485 ..ead for a future job etc.
I am on h4 .
Thanks People.
lc approved for the future job
i 140 pending.
Are we eligible to apply for i 485 ..ead for a future job etc.
I am on h4 .
Thanks People.
more...
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bigtime008
07-17 07:27 PM
Hi all, this is the new ID of bigtime007. As many has noticed, I was banned for the following reason:
You have been banned for the following reason:
Disruptive posts
Date the ban will be lifted: Never
After thinking about it, I feel very very sorry for disrupting the cheerful atmosphere on this forum. It is time for champagne, not complaints. This should be a place to congratulate and applaud IV's achievements, instead of that to express one's own frustrations. People with 07 PD has the privilege to cheer when they cut in front of us, but we should not feel sad for being pushed back because it is a disruptive behavior.
Please do not list what you have done to add items in the legislation to help BEC victims, it does not look genuine any more when it is considered disruptive to express one's depression on a board specially for BEC victims.
This will be my last post, as I am sure they will ban both my ID and IP. For everyone who still reads my post, Good luck!
============================
Your apologies are accepted and the ban is lifted. Please make sure not to post anything offensive or disruptive. Please also update your profile. You were anonymous and you are still anonymous. We do not welcome annonymous users and their posts. IV does not even answer any anonymous user or helps any anonymous user in PMs or emails.
Making mistakes anonymously and apologizing anonymously has zero value to us.
- Admin
You have been banned for the following reason:
Disruptive posts
Date the ban will be lifted: Never
After thinking about it, I feel very very sorry for disrupting the cheerful atmosphere on this forum. It is time for champagne, not complaints. This should be a place to congratulate and applaud IV's achievements, instead of that to express one's own frustrations. People with 07 PD has the privilege to cheer when they cut in front of us, but we should not feel sad for being pushed back because it is a disruptive behavior.
Please do not list what you have done to add items in the legislation to help BEC victims, it does not look genuine any more when it is considered disruptive to express one's depression on a board specially for BEC victims.
This will be my last post, as I am sure they will ban both my ID and IP. For everyone who still reads my post, Good luck!
============================
Your apologies are accepted and the ban is lifted. Please make sure not to post anything offensive or disruptive. Please also update your profile. You were anonymous and you are still anonymous. We do not welcome annonymous users and their posts. IV does not even answer any anonymous user or helps any anonymous user in PMs or emails.
Making mistakes anonymously and apologizing anonymously has zero value to us.
- Admin
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TheOmbudsman
11-09 10:42 AM
Good morning,
If you pay a closer attention, I don't start threads. I just reply to messages following that topics you started. The real issue is that many members in this forum are so biased that you cannot take a different view.
For example, yesterday many in this noble forum became so uneasy and angry as soon as I mentioned that shift from democrats to republicans was triggered solely by the disatisfaction with the Iraq war. It turned out that Bil O'Reilly last night said the same thing. That is based on facts, because exit survey according to O'Reilly, did not indicate that people voted against Republicans due to other issues such as immigration. Then I went on and even showed articles from liberal newspapers such as The Nation to confirm my sources. CNN published e-mails from several voters on why they voted against republicans and immigration was not even mentioned in that sample. If you do not want to believe that and prefer to follow other views, that is fine. My point is, I won't get mad with you. I won't request that administrators shut you down. You have the option to do so. However, saying that my analysis is off base and I bring here unrelated topcis is not true. There are reputable people out there who agree with me. Grow up and learn how to deal with the reality.
What amazes me is that those are not fundamental issues for you to discuss and get so mad about. Who cares now on why people voted republicans out? For you and me it matters that we take the greencard and move on. I feel that it is my way to contribute when I admonish you about distorted views. I feel a need to provide this forum with another view, which many times I believe is the correct one. Bringing that level of critical thinking may strength your maturity and knowledge and that can certainly increase your skills in the fight for immigration relief for the employment based immigrants.
Best regards,
The Ombudsman
When I started this thread, I felt that some "positive" discussion will benefit us..But couple of earlier few posts, I felt that its drastically taking diffrenet turn whcih was not expected!!!
Is it a deliberate "diversion" to keep original thought away from discusson?
Amen!!
If you pay a closer attention, I don't start threads. I just reply to messages following that topics you started. The real issue is that many members in this forum are so biased that you cannot take a different view.
For example, yesterday many in this noble forum became so uneasy and angry as soon as I mentioned that shift from democrats to republicans was triggered solely by the disatisfaction with the Iraq war. It turned out that Bil O'Reilly last night said the same thing. That is based on facts, because exit survey according to O'Reilly, did not indicate that people voted against Republicans due to other issues such as immigration. Then I went on and even showed articles from liberal newspapers such as The Nation to confirm my sources. CNN published e-mails from several voters on why they voted against republicans and immigration was not even mentioned in that sample. If you do not want to believe that and prefer to follow other views, that is fine. My point is, I won't get mad with you. I won't request that administrators shut you down. You have the option to do so. However, saying that my analysis is off base and I bring here unrelated topcis is not true. There are reputable people out there who agree with me. Grow up and learn how to deal with the reality.
What amazes me is that those are not fundamental issues for you to discuss and get so mad about. Who cares now on why people voted republicans out? For you and me it matters that we take the greencard and move on. I feel that it is my way to contribute when I admonish you about distorted views. I feel a need to provide this forum with another view, which many times I believe is the correct one. Bringing that level of critical thinking may strength your maturity and knowledge and that can certainly increase your skills in the fight for immigration relief for the employment based immigrants.
Best regards,
The Ombudsman
When I started this thread, I felt that some "positive" discussion will benefit us..But couple of earlier few posts, I felt that its drastically taking diffrenet turn whcih was not expected!!!
Is it a deliberate "diversion" to keep original thought away from discusson?
Amen!!
more...
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navyug
06-11 07:09 PM
I hate to say this and I hope I am wrong. All of us EB3 folks need to start speaking up or else our fate is sealed. I do not see any hopes of CIR passing. There is always going to be some political backlash due to the AMNESTY factor.
From what I have seen, most employers are now filing only in EB2 category. They know that filing in EB3 will see their applicants backlogged so severly that there is no hope in seeing their applications approved. So, even those with less than 5 years of experience create resumes that show 5 years to qualify for EB2. Imagine the flood of applicants in EB2 that will pour in when the dates move forward beyond July 2007. There will be a new backlog of EB2 numbers that we have to wait behind. When are we going to get our turn?
With nearly 10 years of experience and a master's degree, I am still languishing behind all these new comers who come here with fake experiences to qualify for EB2.
We EB3 folks need to speak up, and have the spill over given to the oldest filed applications IRRESPECTIVE of category. The spillover rules from what I know were defined at a later stage and not as per the original law. If we cannot get CIR passed nor a piecemeal regulation, at least let us get the spillover changed.
Or, let us en masse transfer to EB2 by porting, thereby making us all eligible for GC ahead of those that are coming in through the back door. I see them as no different from the undocumented immigrants. Breaking the ethical law at the expense of those of us who followed the law. Our positions did not require a Master's degree and I dont see why a programming position today still requires such. I also dont see why our experience today should not count towards qualifying for EB2.
I dont care what or how many reds the EB2 folks give, but the fact of the matter is that we EB3 must join hands.
Dude:
If you think you are qualified for an EB2 job why don't you apply for one and get another labor/140 filed rather than crying "Sour Grapes"? Get out of your comfort zone and try getting a new job. Simple. If you have been on an Eb3 since 2004, that explains your "Go getter" attitude. Be smart dude.
From what I have seen, most employers are now filing only in EB2 category. They know that filing in EB3 will see their applicants backlogged so severly that there is no hope in seeing their applications approved. So, even those with less than 5 years of experience create resumes that show 5 years to qualify for EB2. Imagine the flood of applicants in EB2 that will pour in when the dates move forward beyond July 2007. There will be a new backlog of EB2 numbers that we have to wait behind. When are we going to get our turn?
With nearly 10 years of experience and a master's degree, I am still languishing behind all these new comers who come here with fake experiences to qualify for EB2.
We EB3 folks need to speak up, and have the spill over given to the oldest filed applications IRRESPECTIVE of category. The spillover rules from what I know were defined at a later stage and not as per the original law. If we cannot get CIR passed nor a piecemeal regulation, at least let us get the spillover changed.
Or, let us en masse transfer to EB2 by porting, thereby making us all eligible for GC ahead of those that are coming in through the back door. I see them as no different from the undocumented immigrants. Breaking the ethical law at the expense of those of us who followed the law. Our positions did not require a Master's degree and I dont see why a programming position today still requires such. I also dont see why our experience today should not count towards qualifying for EB2.
I dont care what or how many reds the EB2 folks give, but the fact of the matter is that we EB3 must join hands.
Dude:
If you think you are qualified for an EB2 job why don't you apply for one and get another labor/140 filed rather than crying "Sour Grapes"? Get out of your comfort zone and try getting a new job. Simple. If you have been on an Eb3 since 2004, that explains your "Go getter" attitude. Be smart dude.
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99mutd08
05-24 07:11 PM
Admin,
How many members are currently registered on IV?
Is there a way we can reach out to them (private message/email ) to make them aware of this cause?
I can take up the initiative of sending emails requesting donations to a few if necessary.
How many members are currently registered on IV?
Is there a way we can reach out to them (private message/email ) to make them aware of this cause?
I can take up the initiative of sending emails requesting donations to a few if necessary.
more...
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pitha
07-03 03:06 PM
what is the phone number to call uscis regarding the july 2 query.
Called uscis and asked what happens to the app already received by them?
The rep put me on a hold..(guess went and asked somebody) and answered that all the app received will be put on hold(not returned) and said they will not process ead/ap too.Di anybody else tried calling and ask the same?did they tell the same thing?Just want to know if i interpreted it right?
Thanks.
Called uscis and asked what happens to the app already received by them?
The rep put me on a hold..(guess went and asked somebody) and answered that all the app received will be put on hold(not returned) and said they will not process ead/ap too.Di anybody else tried calling and ask the same?did they tell the same thing?Just want to know if i interpreted it right?
Thanks.
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dpp
07-21 08:24 AM
Frankly speaking, i am not a sufferer from BEC, but i want to know more about this mess.
Does the FIFO means, they process the applications in FIFO order, Does it mean that they approve also in the FIFO order? I think both processing and approving are different. Whoever got the case with less complications, will first get the approval and whose case got more complications, takes more time. Is it correct? I may be wrong. I think thats the reason why 2004 PDs may come out BEC fast sometimes as they put the case strongly and clearly.
Don't shout at me, i may be wrong.
Risker,
I am very glad that you brought this point. Nothing would give me greater pleasure than suing the DOL. We may not sue DOL on their inability to clear the backlogs, but we can definitely sue them in their utter and deliberate disregard to FIFO procedures (mind that some people with priority dates in 2004, 2005 have already got their labor certifications, but some with priority dates in 2001, 2002 are still stuck). When I read on the DOL web site that they have tried to maintain FIFO, it makes me feel like puking.
Some folks have pointed that the lawsuit is not worth, as it has little chance of winning. To me personally, more than winning or loosing, it is a matter of bringing injustice to the light, as Gandhi has said something in this line: First step against injustice is to make it visible. This law suit will bring public scrutiny to the misdeeds of the DOL.
Even if all the backlogs get cleared by September 2007, severe damage has been already dealt to our lives. Though I am close to getting my labor clearance (I filed RRI few weeks back), I am strongly in favor of continuing with the law suit even after getting the labor clearance.
Let’s get IV’s attention and support in this area. Let’s talk to AILA. Let’s write letters to senators and house representatives (congresswoman Lofgren may be good person to start with). Let’s write to media personnel. Let’s do whatever needs to be done to expose this insult and injury to the immigrants who waited in the line for years and followed rules of the game.
Does the FIFO means, they process the applications in FIFO order, Does it mean that they approve also in the FIFO order? I think both processing and approving are different. Whoever got the case with less complications, will first get the approval and whose case got more complications, takes more time. Is it correct? I may be wrong. I think thats the reason why 2004 PDs may come out BEC fast sometimes as they put the case strongly and clearly.
Don't shout at me, i may be wrong.
Risker,
I am very glad that you brought this point. Nothing would give me greater pleasure than suing the DOL. We may not sue DOL on their inability to clear the backlogs, but we can definitely sue them in their utter and deliberate disregard to FIFO procedures (mind that some people with priority dates in 2004, 2005 have already got their labor certifications, but some with priority dates in 2001, 2002 are still stuck). When I read on the DOL web site that they have tried to maintain FIFO, it makes me feel like puking.
Some folks have pointed that the lawsuit is not worth, as it has little chance of winning. To me personally, more than winning or loosing, it is a matter of bringing injustice to the light, as Gandhi has said something in this line: First step against injustice is to make it visible. This law suit will bring public scrutiny to the misdeeds of the DOL.
Even if all the backlogs get cleared by September 2007, severe damage has been already dealt to our lives. Though I am close to getting my labor clearance (I filed RRI few weeks back), I am strongly in favor of continuing with the law suit even after getting the labor clearance.
Let’s get IV’s attention and support in this area. Let’s talk to AILA. Let’s write letters to senators and house representatives (congresswoman Lofgren may be good person to start with). Let’s write to media personnel. Let’s do whatever needs to be done to expose this insult and injury to the immigrants who waited in the line for years and followed rules of the game.
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rameshk75
05-01 03:27 PM
All the registered members of IV should contribute to make it a big success...If the bills are passed, there will be huge relief and happiness for everyone...
Those who are watching the threads for some success, nothing will happen if we don't contribute and lobby the bills.
Hence please give a hand to IV by CONTRIBUTING for the SUCCESS...
Those who are contributing let's move forward.. I will contribute another $50 at 20K..
Those who are watching the threads for some success, nothing will happen if we don't contribute and lobby the bills.
Hence please give a hand to IV by CONTRIBUTING for the SUCCESS...
Those who are contributing let's move forward.. I will contribute another $50 at 20K..
franklin
09-27 11:11 AM
A total of 2.5M cases pending (AOS and naturalization), only 1.2M are ready for action.
For true backlog numbers look here, Ombudsman report, Page 14.
http://www.ilw.com/immigdaily/news/2007,0619-ombudsman.pdf
1.3M backlogged cases TOTAL (includes naturalization), out of which more than 800K are retrogresed family-based AOS petitions, and what looks like 30K EB petitions (cannot be approved due to statutory limits). 300K cases in namecheck, maybe 10% of them are EB (EB is about 13% of green cards), so we are having about 60K truly backloged EB cases in March 2007.
We know that cases that are current and not stuck in FBI checks are being approved farily fast, so my gut feeling is they have maybe 50-80K EB cases in active adjudication. Let's double-check -- out of 1.2 million cases ready for action, about a half is naturalization, and from the other half, ~13% would be EB - yep, 80K (EBs are the easiest to approve because there are no interviews or tests, so the percentage is likely less than 13%).
So, in March 2007 there were a total of no more than 140K pending cases in I-485 stage of stocessing. Now in June-August EVERYONE who had an approved LC got to apply, and there were ~300K applications, while CIS gave out ~70K green cards, so we would have a total of 370K pending petitions. This estimate is surprisingly close to 13% of the total 2.5M backlog, so I would consider it good.
Again, I absolutely do not believe there are more than 500K EB1-EB3 cases. There may be another 500K in the 'other worker' category, but this is not what we are talking about here.
We can argue who is right on the numbers for a long time, The Ombudsman, who quote that they can not say for sure what the numbers are, or the kauffman Report who claim 1.1 million. Even if we go with your number of "no more than 500K" - thats a 3 year wait if there are no more country caps.
Also from the Ombudsman:-
"In FY 06, over 10,000 employment-based visas were lost, even though USCIS had an estimated 100,000 to 150,000 pending applications for employment-based green cards." - Pending applications for employment-based green cards means "application approved pending visa number availability" - ie all but approved - waiting for a visa number, not all 485 applications.
"As of May 2007, USCIS reported a staggering 329,160 FBI name check cases pending"
I'm obviously not adding those numbers together, but I really believe that the numbers are larger than we think.
Remember to take out the visa's unsued each year (per the ombudsman, in the last 3 years, thats only 100k wasted) that brings down the number of visas available, and remember there are other visa paths into greencard application, not just H1B.
They also think there are roughly about 170K at BEC... that haven't hit yet. Add that to the number - all with old PD so you better believe their dates will come current sooner.
If you've read the Ombudsman's report, you should have figured out that things are NOT moving quickly
I've just realized, are you looking at just 485 numbers and not everyone in the EB GC queue?
Finally - if you've read the Ombudsman report from the past few years, they will look very similar to this years' one (although they gradually get more and more bleak). Nothing has change to make the situation better, so the expectation that all of a sudden things will get fast now still baffles me.
For true backlog numbers look here, Ombudsman report, Page 14.
http://www.ilw.com/immigdaily/news/2007,0619-ombudsman.pdf
1.3M backlogged cases TOTAL (includes naturalization), out of which more than 800K are retrogresed family-based AOS petitions, and what looks like 30K EB petitions (cannot be approved due to statutory limits). 300K cases in namecheck, maybe 10% of them are EB (EB is about 13% of green cards), so we are having about 60K truly backloged EB cases in March 2007.
We know that cases that are current and not stuck in FBI checks are being approved farily fast, so my gut feeling is they have maybe 50-80K EB cases in active adjudication. Let's double-check -- out of 1.2 million cases ready for action, about a half is naturalization, and from the other half, ~13% would be EB - yep, 80K (EBs are the easiest to approve because there are no interviews or tests, so the percentage is likely less than 13%).
So, in March 2007 there were a total of no more than 140K pending cases in I-485 stage of stocessing. Now in June-August EVERYONE who had an approved LC got to apply, and there were ~300K applications, while CIS gave out ~70K green cards, so we would have a total of 370K pending petitions. This estimate is surprisingly close to 13% of the total 2.5M backlog, so I would consider it good.
Again, I absolutely do not believe there are more than 500K EB1-EB3 cases. There may be another 500K in the 'other worker' category, but this is not what we are talking about here.
We can argue who is right on the numbers for a long time, The Ombudsman, who quote that they can not say for sure what the numbers are, or the kauffman Report who claim 1.1 million. Even if we go with your number of "no more than 500K" - thats a 3 year wait if there are no more country caps.
Also from the Ombudsman:-
"In FY 06, over 10,000 employment-based visas were lost, even though USCIS had an estimated 100,000 to 150,000 pending applications for employment-based green cards." - Pending applications for employment-based green cards means "application approved pending visa number availability" - ie all but approved - waiting for a visa number, not all 485 applications.
"As of May 2007, USCIS reported a staggering 329,160 FBI name check cases pending"
I'm obviously not adding those numbers together, but I really believe that the numbers are larger than we think.
Remember to take out the visa's unsued each year (per the ombudsman, in the last 3 years, thats only 100k wasted) that brings down the number of visas available, and remember there are other visa paths into greencard application, not just H1B.
They also think there are roughly about 170K at BEC... that haven't hit yet. Add that to the number - all with old PD so you better believe their dates will come current sooner.
If you've read the Ombudsman's report, you should have figured out that things are NOT moving quickly
I've just realized, are you looking at just 485 numbers and not everyone in the EB GC queue?
Finally - if you've read the Ombudsman report from the past few years, they will look very similar to this years' one (although they gradually get more and more bleak). Nothing has change to make the situation better, so the expectation that all of a sudden things will get fast now still baffles me.
snthampi
05-17 01:03 PM
Just sent the email. That was very easy. Thanks.
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